NHL Betting Analysis & Value Finder
Data-driven insights using the +EVBets FairLine™ to find positive expected value in NHL betting markets
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NHL Betting: The Ultimate Guide
The National Hockey League (NHL) offers a unique betting landscape characterized by tight margins, low-scoring games, and significant variance. With 82 regular season games per team, the NHL provides numerous opportunities for bettors to find value.
At +EV Bets, we analyze NHL betting markets to find positive expected value opportunities. Our data-driven approach helps you identify when the odds are in your favor, giving you an edge over the sportsbooks.
Whether you're betting on moneylines, puck lines, totals, or player props, our NHL betting tools provide the insights you need to make informed decisions in this fast-paced, unpredictable sport.
NHL Predictions & Analysis
At +EV Bets, we provide NHL betting insights powered by the +EVBets FairLine™. Our analysis compares retail sportsbook odds to our proprietary FairLine™ benchmark to identify profitable betting opportunities throughout the season.
The FairLine™ Advantage
+EVBets FairLine™ Analysis
Advanced algorithms compare retail odds against our proprietary FairLine™ benchmark
Real-Time Odds Comparison
Live monitoring of FanDuel, DraftKings, and other major sportsbooks
Value Identification
Systematic detection of positive expected value betting opportunities
Clear Presentation
Complex analysis presented in accessible, actionable format
Finding +EV Opportunities
Our +EVBets FairLine™ analysis identifies value bets by comparing statistical predictions with current market odds. A positive expected value (+EV) bet occurs when:
FairLine™ Probability > Implied Retail Probability
When our FairLine™ suggests better odds than the market offers
This systematic approach helps you make data-driven betting decisions based on statistical advantage rather than intuition alone.
For live NHL predictions and current +EV opportunities, visit our NHL Moneyline page where we present the latest FairLine™ analysis and highlight the most profitable betting opportunities available today.
NHL Betting Strategies
Puck Line Betting Strategy
Puck Line Betting Strategy
Puck lines (hockey's version of point spreads) are typically set at +/- 1.5 goals, offering different value opportunities than moneylines.
Effective puck line betting approaches:
- Underdogs +1.5 often provide value due to the low-scoring nature of hockey
- Consider team's performance in one-goal games
- Analyze empty-net goal scoring and prevention rates
- Look for teams that consistently win or lose by multiple goals
Totals (Over/Under) Betting Strategy
Totals (Over/Under) Betting Strategy
NHL totals betting requires understanding both team playing styles and goaltender performance that impact scoring.
Factors that influence NHL totals:
- Goaltender quality and recent performance
- Team pace of play and offensive/defensive systems
- Special teams efficiency and penalty tendencies
- Back-to-back situations affecting scoring
NHL Betting Trends & Data Analysis
Understanding historical NHL betting trends can provide valuable context for your wagering decisions. While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, certain patterns have shown consistency over time.
Home Favorites After Loss
Home teams coming off a loss as favorites have historically bounced back at a rate higher than the market implies, particularly when facing a team on the second night of a back-to-back.
Overtime/Shootout Impact
Approximately 23% of NHL games go to overtime or shootout, creating value on underdogs at +1.5 on the puck line, as they only need to force overtime to cover the spread.
Goaltender Fatigue
Starting goaltenders playing on consecutive days show a significant performance decline, with save percentage dropping an average of 1.2% in the second game, creating value on overs.
Third Period Scoring
NHL games average 35% more goals in the third period compared to the first period, particularly when teams are trailing, making live betting on overs valuable in close games.
NHL Betting Markets
Learning Resources
Data Sources
+EVBets FairLine™
Proprietary fair odds derived from sharp books (Pinnacle, Betfair, etc.)
Live Odds Data
Real-time odds from FanDuel, DraftKings, and other major sportsbooks
Update Frequency
Odds and predictions updated hourly during the NHL season
NHL Betting FAQ
How important are goaltenders in NHL betting?
How important are goaltenders in NHL betting?
Goaltenders are arguably the most important factor in NHL betting. A hot goaltender can single-handedly carry a team, while poor goaltending can make even the best teams vulnerable. Pay attention to recent performance trends, save percentage, goals against average, and matchup history rather than just overall season stats.
Should I bet the puck line or moneyline in NHL?
Should I bet the puck line or moneyline in NHL?
This depends on the matchup and odds. Puck lines (+/- 1.5) offer better payouts but are riskier. With about 23% of games going to overtime, underdogs +1.5 often provide good value since they only need to force overtime to cover. For heavy favorites, the puck line can offer better value than the moneyline.
How do back-to-back games affect NHL betting?
How do back-to-back games affect NHL betting?
Back-to-back games significantly impact NHL betting. Teams typically perform worse on the second night, especially if they had to travel. Goaltenders rarely start both games, so backup goalies often play the second game. This creates value opportunities on the rested team and can affect totals betting.
What's the best strategy for NHL totals betting?
What's the best strategy for NHL totals betting?
NHL totals betting should focus on goaltender matchups, team offensive systems, and situational factors. Consider recent scoring trends, power play efficiency, and whether teams are in offensive or defensive-minded systems. Weather can also affect outdoor games. Look for games where one team is significantly better at scoring than the other is at preventing goals.