MLB Player Props Analysis
Find value in MLB player props with our advanced statistical models and predictions
Starting Pitcher Strikeouts
Compare starting pitcher strikeout props across sportsbooks and find the best over/under opportunities. Our xK model predicts strikeout totals using advanced metrics and machine learning.
Features:
- Proprietary xK predictions
- Expected Value (EV) calculations
- DraftKings & FanDuel odds comparison
- Regular updates throughout the day
More Props Coming Soon
We're working on expanding our MLB props coverage. Stay tuned for:
- Starting Pitcher Outs
- Starting Pitcher Hits Allowed
- Player Home Runs
- Player Total Bases
MLB Player Props Betting Strategy
Understanding Expected Value (EV)
Expected Value (EV) is crucial in props betting. The +EVBets FairLine™ calculates EV by comparing sportsbook odds with our predicted probabilities. When the FairLine™ identifies significant discrepancies, it highlights potential value opportunities.
For pitcher strikeout props, we consider:
- Pitcher's recent performance and historical K/9 rates
- Opposing team's strikeout tendencies and lineup changes
- Weather conditions and ballpark factors
- Umpire tendencies and strike zone patterns
Key Factors in Props Analysis
Successful props betting requires a comprehensive analysis of multiple factors:
- Pitcher matchup history and recent form
- Team rest days and bullpen usage
- Line movement and market trends
- Starting lineup composition
- Weather impact on pitch movement
MLB Props Betting Tips
Line Shopping
Always compare odds across multiple sportsbooks. Even small differences in strikeout totals or odds can significantly impact your long-term profitability. We track odds from major sportsbooks to help you find the best lines.
Bankroll Management
Maintain consistent bet sizing and avoid chasing losses. We recommend betting between 1-3% of your bankroll on any single prop, regardless of how confident you feel about the prediction.
Weather Impact
Pay attention to weather conditions, especially wind. Strong winds can affect pitch movement and carry, potentially impacting strikeout totals. The FairLine™ incorporates weather data into its analysis.